This will give Sir Keir Starmer the biggest majority for any single party since 1832 in a vote which YouGov’s last MRP suggests will break a series of electoral records.
YouGov’s final MRP of the election suggests that 16 of the current 26 cabinet minister employed by the government will lose their seats – including Jeremy Hunt. Other notable Tories, like Sir Iain Duncan Smith and Miriam Cates, also face ejection from the Commons.
The list of likely losers also includes former Tory leaders like Sir Iain Duncan Smith and potential future leadership contenders like Miriam Cates.
According to YouGov, Labour are set to win 431 seats, the highest number in the party’s history and passing the previous peak of 419 reached by Tony Blair in 1997 – making Sir Keir the most successful Labour leader in history in electoral terms.
This is more than double the 202 seats achieved by Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour in 2019.
Details later…
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