Top Stories

#USElection2024: Latest polls from key states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

Amid talk of the “bellwether counties” and “swing states,” you may also hear about the “blue wall.”

Both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have spent considerable time and resources in the blue wall states throughout their campaigns. The states were Democratic strongholds for decades until Trump flipped three of them in 2016, but President Joe Biden flipped them blue again in 2020.

Advertisement

The blue wall refers to the collection of states that had reliably voted Democrat in recent presidential elections through 2012. Discussion around the so-called blue wall erupted after the 2016 election, when Trump won three such states: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Together, the states account for a key 44 electoral votes in the 2024 election.

Here is where the candidates stand in the key blue wall states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin a week away from Election Day, Nov. 5.

Advertisement

Election 2024 live updates: Trump holds PA rally, Harris delivers DC speech; latest polls

Pennsylvania – 19 electoral votes

Here are some recent polls taken in Pennsylvania, along with the dates they were conducted, sample size and margin of error:

Advertisement
  • Emerson: Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Oct. 21-22; 860 likely voters; margin of error ±3.3 percentage points)
  • Bloomberg: Trump 48.2%, Harris 50% (Oct. 16-20; 812 likely voters; ±3 percentage points.)

Before Trump, a Republican hadn’t won Pennsylvania since 1988.

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 48.6% to 47.9%
  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50% to 48.8%

Michigan – 15 electoral votes

Here are some recent polls taken in Michigan, along with the dates they were conducted, sample size and margin of error:

  • Emerson: Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Oct 25-27, 1,000 likely voters, margin of error ±3 percentage points).
  • Bloomberg: Trump 46.5%, Harris 49.6% (Oct. 16-20; 705 likely voters; margin of error ±4 percentage points.)
  • Quinnipiac: Trump 46%, Harris 49% (Oct 17-21; 1,136 likely voters; margin of error ± 2.9 percentage points)

Before Trump, a Republican hadn’t won Michigan since 1988.

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 47.6% to 47.4%
  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50.6% to 47.8%

Wisconsin – 10 electoral votes

Here are some recent polls taken in Wisconsin, along with the dates they were conducted, sample size and margin of error:

  • USA TODAY/Suffolk University: Trump 48%, Harris 47% (Oct. 20-23, 500 likely voters, margin of error ±4.4 percentage points).
  • Emerson: Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Oct. 21-22; 800 likely voters; margin of error ±3.4 percentage points)
  • Quinnipiac: Trump 48%, Harris 48% (Oct 17-21; 1,108 likely voters; margin of error ± 2.9 percentage points)

Before Trump, a Republican hadn’t won Michigan since 1984.

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 47.8% to 47%
  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 49.6% to 48.9%

Kinsey Crowley is a trending news reporter at USA TODAY. Reach her at kcrowley@gannett.com, and follow her on X and TikTok @kinseycrowley.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: What is the ‘blue wall?’ Latest election polls from 3 key states

Advertisement
citynews

Recent Posts

Senate Approves Tinubu’s $2.2bn Loan Request

The Senate on Thursday approved President Bola Tinubu’s loan request of $2.2 billion to partially…

10 hours ago

2023 Presidential Poll Not Rigged – Okupe To Peter Obi

A former presidential spokesman, Doyin Okupe has dismissed claims by Peter Obi of the Labour…

10 hours ago

Ohanaeze Ndigbo Reveals Speaks On What Simon Ekpa’s Arrest Means For Igbo Nation

Leading Igbo Socio-cultural Organisation, Ohanaeze Ndigbo, has commended the arrest of self-acclaimed Biafra Prime Minister,…

10 hours ago

Car Dealer Surprises Davido With Brand New Escalade To Celebrate His Birthday

    A car dealer has gifted Nigerian singer Davido a new vehicle for his birthday.  …

17 hours ago

PDP Crisiss: Damagum Holds Closed-Door Meeting With State Chairmen

There is palpable tension in the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) after the acting National Chairman…

17 hours ago

Reevaluate your economic policies….they have worsened lives of Nigerians – ACF tells President Tinubu

The Arewa Consultative Forum says the policies of the President Bola Tinubu-led administration has worsened…

17 hours ago