Politics
US 2020: New national poll shows Joe Biden 11 points ahead of Donald Trump
Joe Biden has an 11-point lead over President Trump in a new national poll, as state surveys show trouble spots for Trump in Wisconsin, Arizona and even Texas, which is too close to call.
Monmouth University pollsters talked to registered voters across the nation and found that 52 per cent now support the presumptive Democratic nominee, while 41 per cent support the sitting Republican president.
Biden has slowly made gains since March, when he essentially locked up the nomination, but also had to get off the campaign trail due to the coronavirus crisis.
Monmouth’s numbers showed him with 48 per cent support in March, to Trump’s 45 per cent. That grew to 48 per cent in April, while Trump was at 44 per cent. Last month, Biden got to 50 per cent of registered voters, while Trump fell to 51 per cent.
Voters seem influenced by the belief that Trump’s handling of the coronavirus crisis will hinder his re-election chances. The most recent racial unrest hasn’t been fully baked in.
‘The race continues to be largely a referendum on the incumbent. The initial reaction to ongoing racial unrest in the country suggests that most voters feel Trump is not handling the situation well at all,’ said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.
Most of the reporting for this particular poll happened before Trump’s controversial move to pose in front of St. John’s church with a Bible Monday afternoon, minutes after protesters were forcibly removed from the area using ‘pepper balls,’ shields, smoke and police on horseback.
A new Texas poll that dropped Wednesday shows Biden just one point behind Trump in a state that has voted Republican in the presidential election for the past 40 years.
Forty-four per cent of Texans said they’d vote for Trump, while 43 per cent said Biden, according to a Quinnipiac survey.
Arizona, which has already elected one Democratic senator and polling suggests will elect another in November, is another state that’s in play for Biden.
A Fox News poll out Wednesday showed Biden with an 4 point lead.
He receives 46 per cent of support in Arizona, to Trump’s 42 per cent, with the survey’s margin of error at plus-or-minus 3 per cent.
Incumbent Sen. Martha McSally, who’s a Republican, gets just 37 per cent support compared to her Democratic rival, former astronaut Mark Kelly, who sits at 50 per cent support, in the same Fox News poll.
In Wisconsin, a traditionally blue state Trump won over Hillary Clinton in 2016, a Fox News poll shows Biden 9 points ahead.
He receives 49 per cent of the vote to Trump’s 40 per cent.
Polling in both Arizona and Texas showed that Trump still had a solid edge when voters were asked who would be better at handling the economy.
In Texas, 54 per cent of voters said Trump, while 40 per cent said Biden.
In Arizona, 48 per cent said Trump, while 41 per cent said Biden.
In Wisconsin, Trump still had a lead when voters were asked about the economy, but it was tighter – with 47 per cent saying Trump and 44 per cent suggesting Biden would be best.
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